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Putin's Russia 'could fall apart at the seams in next five years'

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Vladimir Putin’s Russia could “come apart at the seams” within the next five years, one of the UK’s top military experts has said.

It comes as Putin continues to suffer setbacks in his disastrous war in Ukraine, with troops having been forced into a humiliating retreat from Kherson this month.

General Sir Richard Shirreff, a retired senior British Army officer and former Nato deputy supreme allied commander in Europe, said Putin’s grip on Russia is in “jeopardy” as Ukrainian advances continue and he is seen to have lost the war.

Sir Richard, asked on Times Radio where Russia goes from here, said: “Putin has lost this war and it’s going to take time for him for a penny to drop.

“Where does Russia go? I think downhill all the way.

“I think Putin’s position is going to become increasingly in jeopardy. I think the stresses and strains on Russia, on the Russian Federation, as Putin is seen increasingly to be defeated [and] loses face massively, are going to be really significant.

“Again, I wouldn’t put it too far outside the realms of possibility to say, frankly, the Russian Federation could come apart at the seams over the next five years or so.”

Sir Richard added of Ukraine’s fierce resistance: “The Ukrainian aim is very simple: to regain every ounce, every centimetre, of Ukrainian territory… including Crimea. I would put money on them achieving that, probably at least being able to invest northern Crimea by late spring next year.” Crimea was illegally annexed by Putin in 2014.

Watch: UK has adapted its support for Ukraine’s needs, says Cleverly

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UK has adapted its support for Ukraine’s needs, says Cleverly
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UK has adapted its support for Ukraine’s needs, says Cleverly

Foreign Secretary James Cleverly says the UK has “adapted its support for Ukraine’s needs”, throughout the country’s defence against Russia’s invasion. It comes as the UK is set to send more ambulances to Ukraine to help the war-torn nation through the winter. During a visit to Kyiv, the cabinet minister also praised the people of Ukraine for their “huge resilience and courage”.

UK has adapted its support for Ukraine’s needs, says Cleverly
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Read more: Is Vladimir Putin suffering from a serious illness?

In September, Putin announced a “partial mobilisation” of 300,000 extra troops to fight, in a major escalation of the war.

But in an intelligence update on Friday, the UK’s Ministry of Defence said their deployment has been “characterised by confusion”: including over eligibility for service, inadequate training and personal equipment, and “commitment to highly attritional combat missions”.

It added many of the reservists have been “compelled to serve with serious, chronic health conditions” and that there have been high numbers of casualties.

“The Kremlin will likely be concerned that an increasing number of reservists’ families are prepared to risk arrest by protesting against the conditions their relatives are serving under,” the update concluded.

On Friday, Putin met mothers of dead Russian soldiers, telling them “we share your pain”.

In an apparent attempt to counter online reporting about Russia’s struggles, Putin also said: “You can't trust anything there at all, there are all sorts of fakes, deception, lies.”

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Putin met with Beslan victims mothers - Google Search

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Putin meets Beslan victims' relatives | News - Al Jazeera

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Sep 2, 2005A group of mothers and other relatives of victims of the Beslan school seizure have held a long-anticipated meeting with Russian President ...

Russia: Beslan Mothers Meet Putin At Kremlin

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Sep 2, 2005Vladimir Putin in Beslan after the massacre last year Mothers and other relatives of victims of the Beslan school hostage massacre met with ...

Mothers of Beslan victims comment on meeting with Putin

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Beslan (AsiaNews) – Parents of victims of the Beslan school siege in North Ossetia do not want Russian President, Vladimir Putin, or other high-ranking ...
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Европарламент принял резолюцию о признании России страной-спонсором терроризма

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Депутаты Европарламента на заседании 23 ноября приняли резолюцию о признании России страной-спонсором терроризма. Депутаты заявили, что готовят почву для привлечения президента Владимира Путина и его правительства к международному трибуналу.

"Регулярные атаки и зверства, совершаемые Российской Федерацией против гражданского населения Украины, разрушение гражданской инфрастурктуры и другие серьёзные нарушения международного гуманитарного права приравниваются к актам террора против населения Украины и составляют военные преступления", — говорится в тексте документа.

Россия признаётся в нём страной, использующей методы терроризма во время войны. Страны Евросоюза депутаты призвали разработать новое законодательство, которое позволило бы помещать целые государства в список террористов. Сейчас в террористический список ЕС можно добавлять только организации и отдельных людей.

Депутаты призвали страны Евросоюза организовать поддержку созданию специального трибунала по агрессии России против Украины. Перед голосованием отмечалось, что документ должен стать шагом в судебном преследовании президента России Владимира Путина и его правительства.

Резолюция не обязывает европейские страны к действиям и имеет символическое значение. За неё проголосовали 494 депутата, 44 воздержались, 58 проголосовали против.

Комментарии премодерируются, их появление на сайте может занять некоторое время.

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Putin is the Terrorist In Chief and is personally responsible for the various terrorist activities around the world carried out at his orders, he sees them as the convenient geopolitical tools - Google Search

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PUTIN'S ASYMMETRIC ASSAULT ON DEMOCRACY IN ...

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PUTIN'S ASYMMETRIC ASSAULT ON DEMOCRACY IN RUSSIA AND EUROPE: IMPLICATIONS FOR U.S. NATIONAL SECURITY.

Psychology of Terrorism - Office of Justice Programs

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Our objectives were to explore what questions pertaining to terrorist groups and behavior had been asked by social science researchers; to identify the main.

Russia's Counterproductive Counterterrorism | CSCE

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The hearing closely examined the development, history, and repercussions of the Kremlin's approach to counterterrorism under Vladimir Putin, including Moscow's ...
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New York City Rat Action Plan - Google Search

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Mayor Adams Signs Legislation to Fight Rats, Build Cleaner City

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Traces of Shamanism in Hasidic storytelling

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Last week I appeared in St. Petersburg with a lecture on Hasidic mythology. On the basis of this theme, it is worthwhile to consider quasi-shamanic elements in Hasidism and in Jewish literature.

אַ שאַמאַן איז אין אַ סך אוראַלטע קולטורן אַ מענטש, וואָס קאָן אַרײַנפֿאַלן אין אַ טראַנס, באַזוכן גײַסטיקע וועלטן אין זײַן נשמה־נסיעה און עמעצן אַרויסהעלפֿן: אויסהיילן אַ קראַנקן, ראַטעווען פֿון אַ גזירה, אָפּהיטן פֿון אַ שׂונא. כּדי אַרײַנצופֿאַלן אין אַ ספּעציעלן צושטאַנד פֿון באַוווּסטזײַן, ווערן אין שאַמאַנישע טראַדיציעס אָפֿט באַנוצט ריטמישע מוזיק, טענץ, פּויקן און צומאָל פּסיכאָדעלישע (נאַרקאָטיק)־מיטלען. אַ ריי פֿאָרשער פֿון חסידות האָבן שוין באַמערקט, אַז אַ חסידישער צדיק פֿירט זיך אויף אין אַ סך אַספּעקטן ווי אַ שאַמאַן, וואָס פֿליט אַרויף אין הימל און פּועלט אויס מופֿתים מיט דער הילף פֿון ניגונים און אַפֿילו אַ גלאָז משקה. דאָס ריטמישע שאָקלען זיך און קלאַפּן מיט די הענט האָט אויך אַ כּמו־שאַמאַנישן טעם.

דאָס איז לאַוו־דווקא אַ צופֿאַל. אין דער תּקופֿה פֿונעם בעל־שם־טובֿ האָט בײַ די אוקראַיִנישע טאָטערן נאָך געבליט אַן אוראַלטע פֿאָרעם פֿון שאַמאַניזם, וועלכע האָט אויך פּאַראַלעלן בײַ די קריסטלעכע פֿאָלקס־היילער אין אונגערן. אַזעלכע טראַדיציעס זענען געווען באַקאַנט אין געוויסע ייִדישע קרײַזן – אַ בעל־שם איז דאָך אַ בעל־מופֿת. ווי אַבֿרהם רעכטמאַן דערציילט אין זײַן בוך „ייִדישע עטנאָגראַפֿיע און פֿאָלקלאָר‟, האָט אַנ־סקיס עקספּעדיציע אַנטדעקט אין מיזרח־אייראָפּעיִשע שטעטלעך אַ גאַנצן שיכט ייִדישע פֿאָלקס־היילער, וואָס האָבן זיך אויפֿגעפֿירט פֿאַקטיש ווי שאַמאַנען.

אַ וויכטיקער שטריך פֿון שאַמאַנישע קולטורן איז די באַזונדערס גרויסע ראָלע פֿון מיטאָלאָגיע, וואָס מיינט נישט סתּם אַלעגאָרישע געשיכטעס וועגן אַלטע עבֿודה־זרות, ווי בײַ די אַמאָליקע גריכן, נאָר אַ מיסטישע פּראַקטיק פֿון מעשׂה־דערציילן. אַ שאַמאַנישער מיטאָס, אָפֿט באַגלייט מיט אַ ספּעציעל געזאַנג, טענץ און אַנדערע מיטלען, וואָס ווירקן אויפֿן באַוווּסטזײַן, איז מסוגל אַרײַנצופֿירן דעם עולם אין אַ צווישן־וועלט, וווּ די אַלטע מעשׂה ווערט אַ בריק צווישן גשמיות און רוחניות. אַ באַגאַבטער זינגער און רעדנער – נישט זעלטן אַליין אַ שאַמאַן – איז בכּוח עפּעס אויפֿצוטאָן מיטן עצם־אַקט פֿון דערציילן אַ מיטאָס.

דאָס איז זיכער זייער כאַראַקטעריסטיש פֿאַר די חסידים. דער בעל־שם־טובֿ האָט געזאָגט, אַז דער, וואָס דערציילט מעשׂיות פֿון צדיקים, איז ווי אַן „עוסק במעשׂה־מרכּבֿה‟. דער דאָזיקער טערמין האָט זייער אַ ספּעציפֿישן קבלה־טעם. אַן „עוסק במעשׂה־מרכּבֿה‟ איז נישט סתּם אַ טעאָרעטישער פֿאָרשער פֿון מיסטישע ענינים, נאָר אַ מענטש, וואָס קאָן זיך דירעקט פֿאַרבינדן מיט רוחניות, זיך לאָזן אין אַן אינערלעכער הימלישער נסיעה און זען אָדער שפּירן פּערזענלעכע גײַסטיקע אַנטפּלעקונגען.

די אַגדות אין גמרא זענען פֿאַרשריבן אויף ייִדישע דיאַלעקטן פֿון אַראַמיש – אַ מין ייִדיש פֿון יענער פֿאַרצײַטישער תּקופֿה. ס׳איז באַקאַנט, אַז נישט ווייניק גמרא־אַגדות שטעלן מיט זיך פֿאָר ייִדישע ווערסיעס פֿון גאָר אַלטע מעסאָפּאָטאַמישע, פּערסישע, גריכישע און אַנדערע לעגענדעס. בײַ די אַשכּנזישע ייִדן זענען בנימצא אומצאָליקע אייגענע פֿאָלקס־מעשׂיות, וואָס שטאַמען כּסדר פֿון גערמאַנישע, קעלטישע, סלאַווישע און אַפֿילו טערקישע קוואַלן. ווען אַ צדיק דערציילט זיי איבער, ווערן זיי אַ נײַער מין אַגדה, אַ דערפֿרישטע אַנטפּלעקונג פֿון דער תּורה־שבעל־פּה, און ייִדיש פֿאַרנעמט די ראָלע פֿון אַראַמיש ווי די הײַנטצײַטיקע אַגדה־שפּראַך.

When certain stories are told at the Rabbi's table, whether in a Hasidic cloister, accompanied by rhythmic songs and dances, in connection with a certain date (usually, a holiday or a season), the sacred legend becomes - in other words, the Myth in the classic son - revived in the soul of the participants. In many Hasidic families today, the Haggadah reading at the Seder is accompanied by a whole canon of Sipuri Tzadkim, which are accurately told from generation to generation, like a living chain that connects the words of the Sages to the present day. Telling the truth is considered a mitzvah and a powerful remedy.

Rabbi Yitzchak-Eyzik Safrin of Komarne even emphasized that the one who does not believe in the folk tale, that in a certain shill at night the dead come to pray, is an apicor. This saint was a great visionary, who kept a diary of prophetic dreams. For the Komarner rabbi, every accepted folk tale is literally a part of the Torah. Not all Hasidic leaders would agree with such an extreme approach, but the general Hasidic saying is known, that the one who does not believe at least in some miracle stories about the Most High, is an infidel.

Such a worldview, that story-telling is a powerful mystical act, had a strong influence on Yitzchak Leibush Pratsen, Nistor and a number of other Jewish writers with a tendency towards romantic-mystical aesthetics. A brilliant example is Prose's play " At Night on the Old Market ". Basically, the Jewish classic created a new artistic mythology, similar to the Latin American genre of magical realism , where the dead appear together with living people.

Through ancient mystical stories, the Jewish language is deepened and sanctified. Supernatural elements and unusual states of consciousness play a large role in Aaron Zeitlin's songs and in his work. It can be said that thanks to the quasi-shamanic elements in the Hasidic world, Yiddish has its own literary tradition of magical realism.

The post Traces of Shamanism in Hasidic storytelling appeared first on The Forward.

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